[NMCCSC] [Sandia Nordic] FW: 2/21 Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday

Barry Ritchey barrywind505 at gmail.com
Tue Feb 21 18:24:15 MST 2023


The NWS forecast for the Sandias pasted below. The base wind is forecast to
be~50mph, with gusts to 70. Beware of all those dead and diseased trees
poised to be blown down...

[image: image.png]


On Tue, Feb 21, 2023 at 5:57 PM dana_price--- via NMCCSCeGroup <
nmccscegroup at mailman.swcp.com> wrote:

>
>
> Sent using the mobile mail app
>
> On 2/21/23 at 5:21 PM, Scott Dietrich wrote:
>
> From: "Scott Dietrich" <sandianordic at gmail.com>
> Date: February 21, 2023
> To: "Sandia Nordic Ski Club" <sandia-nordic-ski-club at googlegroups.com>
> Cc:
> Subject: [Sandia Nordic Ski Club] Fwd: [Volunteers_fosm] FW: 2/21 Weather
> Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
> Hi Everyone,
>
> Wanted to forward this along regarding the severe weather that is forecast
> for tomorrow.  Probably not a good idea to head up top until this storm has
> passed through...
>
> Take care,
>
> Scott
>
>
> *From:* Jones, Kerry - FS, NM <Kerry.Jones at usda.gov>
> *Sent:* Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:07 PM
> *Subject:* 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow)
> for Wednesday
> *Importance:* High
>
>
>
> Good afternoon, everyone—
>
>
>
> Unfortunately,  the forecast for dangerously high winds is not getting any
> less extreme for tomorrow (Wednesday).   NWS issues high wind warnings when
> sustained winds are > 40mph or gusts reach  58mph (50 knots) or stronger.
> Add snow and blowing snow in the high country and we’re well within
> life-threatening blizzard conditions. Not to mention impacts from blowing
> dust for the RGV.
>
>
>
> Virtually every county in the state is expected to experience high wind
> conditions tomorrow, which is rare for late February.   The image below
> from this morning’s NWS Blend of Models suggests areas over/immediately
> east of the Sangre de Cristos,  Sandia/Manzanos down to the Sacramento
> Mountains could experience gusts in the 80-90+ mph range!   Mountain
> ranges over central and south-central NM will likely to see the brunt and
> longest duration of  potentially damaging winds. These high winds will be
> associated with a powerful cold front that will sweep the region from
> mid/late morning into early afternoon Wednesday.
>
>
>
> In addition to extreme winds,  high confidence we will continue to add to
> our mountain snowpack during the next 24-36 hours.   Snow accumulation
> levels for northern NM near/above 8,500 feet this afternoon into the
> evening gradually lower tonight but then abruptly fall behind the front
> mid/late morning Wednesday.  Light accumulations expected for locales like
> Taos (1-3”) and Santa Fe (dusting to 1 or 2”).  High elevations of the Gila
> and Lincoln should narrowly edge out northern NM this go round.
>
>
>
> The attached slides are for the next seven days to supplement SWCC
> <https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffsapps.nwcg.gov%2Fpsp%2Fnpsg%2Fforecast%2F%23%2Foutlooks%3Fstate%3Dforecast%26gaccId%3D10&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=AgIQCB6BwJSk%2BGMTKCrTlMgOyYRFWb%2FbdmFMX0IOkQM%3D&reserved=0>
> and NWS
> <https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Fmedia%2Fabq%2FBriefings%2FKeyImpacts.pdf&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=zyj7VLYsmPGMsO4s%2BaBjxPz%2FdDFgrr1LZzR3e625rXA%3D&reserved=0>
> outlooks/forecasts.  This link to forecast weather
> <https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Fforecastpoints%3Flat%3D35.688%26lon%3D-105.940%26clat%3D35.906%26clon%3D-105.054%26zoom%3D14.0%26basemap%3Dstamenterrain%26bbox%3D%255b-19719439.353%2C1706090.691%2C-1372338.093%2C10673494.116%255d%26layers%3DRangeRings%24USStates%24ForecastPointPolygon%24ForecastPoint%24Domain%24%26order%3D4%2C1%2C0%26obs%3Dttffffft%26countyNames%3Dt&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=%2B%2FK1G7p5LCmmyhzR3Y6eaFxPLaLXy%2B4ol0vwxT1kwfE%3D&reserved=0>
> is direct from NWS and is useful for keeping up to date on the latest
> forecast at a specific location.
>
>
>
> Stay safe tomorrow!
>
> Kerry
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> [image: Forest Service Shield]
>
>
>
> *Kerry Jones (he, him, his) Air & Water Quality Specialist/Meteorologist
> NMED Liaison*
>
> *Forest Service*
>
> *New Mexico National Forests*
>
>
>
> *p: 505-438-5673 c: 505-414-4787 **kerry.jones at usda.gov*
> <kerry.jones at usda.gov>
>
> 11 Forest Lane
> Santa Fe, NM 87508
> www.fs.fed.us
> <https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fs.fed.us%2F&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=rU7NWB1HfYWEvhgNvXnusxPKQAZFYBJWp5SO0AXzF5Y%3D&reserved=0>
> [image: USDA Logo]
> <https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fusda.gov%2F&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=JkDqfpnvL1%2FucutRNL%2BLLWRI53AszqXpOrrb4ik44AM%3D&reserved=0>
>  [image: Forest Service Twitter]
> <https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fforestservice&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=ENfqG3m7Em5vnIkR%2Bm3kuDW6Ke%2FCM0LGPYkME9IQv5w%3D&reserved=0>
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> --
> Scott Dietrich
>
> 505.350.5233 <(505)%20350-5233>
> SandiaNordic.org <http://www.sandianordic.org/>
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