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On 2/21/23 at 5:21 PM, Scott Dietrich wrote:

From: "Scott Dietrich" <sandianordic@gmail.com>
Date: February 21, 2023
To: "Sandia Nordic Ski Club" <sandia-nordic-ski-club@googlegroups.com>
Cc:
Subject: [Sandia Nordic Ski Club] Fwd: [Volunteers_fosm] FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Hi Everyone,

Wanted to forward this along regarding the severe weather that is forecast for tomorrow.  Probably not a good idea to head up top until this storm has passed through...

Take care,

Scott


From: Jones, Kerry - FS, NM <Kerry.Jones@usda.gov>
Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:07 PM
Subject: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Importance: High

 

Good afternoon, everyone—

 

Unfortunately,  the forecast for dangerously high winds is not getting any less extreme for tomorrow (Wednesday).   NWS issues high wind warnings when sustained winds are > 40mph or gusts reach  58mph (50 knots) or stronger.  Add snow and blowing snow in the high country and we’re well within life-threatening blizzard conditions. Not to mention impacts from blowing dust for the RGV.

 

Virtually every county in the state is expected to experience high wind conditions tomorrow, which is rare for late February.   The image below from this morning’s NWS Blend of Models suggests areas over/immediately east of the Sangre de Cristos,  Sandia/Manzanos down to the Sacramento Mountains could experience gusts in the 80-90+ mph range!   Mountain ranges over central and south-central NM will likely to see the brunt and longest duration of  potentially damaging winds. These high winds will be associated with a powerful cold front that will sweep the region from mid/late morning into early afternoon Wednesday.

 

In addition to extreme winds,  high confidence we will continue to add to our mountain snowpack during the next 24-36 hours.   Snow accumulation levels for northern NM near/above 8,500 feet this afternoon into the evening gradually lower tonight but then abruptly fall behind the front mid/late morning Wednesday.  Light accumulations expected for locales like Taos (1-3”) and Santa Fe (dusting to 1 or 2”).  High elevations of the Gila and Lincoln should narrowly edge out northern NM this go round. 

 

The attached slides are for the next seven days to supplement SWCC and NWS outlooks/forecasts.  This link to forecast weather is direct from NWS and is useful for keeping up to date on the latest forecast at a specific location.    

 

Stay safe tomorrow!  

Kerry

 

 

 

 

 

Forest Service Shield

Kerry Jones (he, him, his)
Air & Water Quality Specialist/Meteorologist
NMED Liaison

Forest Service

New Mexico National Forests

p: 505-438-5673
c: 505-414-4787
kerry.jones@usda.gov

11 Forest Lane
Santa Fe, NM 87508
www.fs.fed.us
USDA Logo Forest Service Twitter USDA Facebook

 

 





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