[Volunteers_fosm] FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Padilla, Julie - FS, NM
julie.padilla at usda.gov
Tue Feb 21 16:57:02 MST 2023
Can you all please distribute this to anyone planning on doing field work tomorrow? Very dangerous winds are predicted "Sandia/Manzanos down to the Sacramento Mountains could experience gusts in the 80-90+ mph range".
Please stay safe out there, not a good day to be working around trees.
Thank you,
Julie
Julie Padilla
Acting Deputy Ranger
Sandia Ranger District
Office: 505-281-3304
Cell: 505-933-0711
From: Nichols, Christopher - FS, NM <christopher.nichols at usda.gov>
Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:45 PM
To: pdl r3 cibola recLT <pdl_r3_cibola_recLT at usda.gov>
Subject: FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Importance: High
Just FYI. Sounds like trees will be having some fun in the days to come.
From: Osborn, Christa - FS, NM <christa.osborn at usda.gov<mailto:christa.osborn at usda.gov>>
Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:35 PM
To: FS-pdl r3 cibola REALM staff <pdl_r3_cibola_REALM_staff at usda.gov<mailto:pdl_r3_cibola_REALM_staff at usda.gov>>
Subject: FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Importance: High
Sharing...
[Forest Service Shield]
Christa Osborn
Public Services Staff
Forest Service
Cibola National Forest & Grasslands
p: 505-346-3871
christa.osborn at usda.gov<mailto:christa.osborn at usda.gov>
2113 Osuna Rd NE
Albuquerque, NM 87113
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Caring for the land and serving people
From: Turner, Jay - FS, NM <James.Turner1 at usda.gov<mailto:James.Turner1 at usda.gov>>
Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:12 PM
To: FS-pdl r3 cibola flt <pdl_r3_cibola_flt at usda.gov<mailto:pdl_r3_cibola_flt at usda.gov>>
Subject: FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Importance: High
Heads up.
From: Jones, Kerry - FS, NM <Kerry.Jones at usda.gov<mailto:Kerry.Jones at usda.gov>>
Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:07 PM
To: FS-pdl r3 santafe all <pdl_r3_santafe_all at usda.gov<mailto:pdl_r3_santafe_all at usda.gov>>; FS-pdl r3 carson employees <pdl_r3_carson_employees at usda.gov<mailto:pdl_r3_carson_employees at usda.gov>>
Cc: Turner, Jay - FS, NM <James.Turner1 at usda.gov<mailto:James.Turner1 at usda.gov>>; Sorells, Elizabeth - FS, NM <Elizabeth.Sorells at usda.gov<mailto:Elizabeth.Sorells at usda.gov>>; Sanchez, Shaun - FS, NM <Shaun.Sanchez at usda.gov<mailto:Shaun.Sanchez at usda.gov>>; Rose, Anita - FS, NM <anita.rose at usda.gov<mailto:anita.rose at usda.gov>>; Reeves, Matt - FS, MT <Matthew.Reeves at usda.gov<mailto:Matthew.Reeves at usda.gov>>; Johnson, Patricia - FS, NM <patricia.e.johnson at usda.gov<mailto:patricia.e.johnson at usda.gov>>; Jaramillo, Anna - FS, NM <Anne.Jaramillo-scarborough at usda.gov<mailto:Anne.Jaramillo-scarborough at usda.gov>>; Basye, William - FS, NM <william.basye at usda.gov<mailto:william.basye at usda.gov>>; Koury, Carolyn - FS, NM <carolyn.koury at usda.gov<mailto:carolyn.koury at usda.gov>>; Natharius, Mike - FS, NM <Michael.Natharius at usda.gov<mailto:Michael.Natharius at usda.gov>>; Julie Anne Overton <jaoverton at mac.com<mailto:jaoverton at mac.com>>
Subject: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
Importance: High
Good afternoon, everyone-
Unfortunately, the forecast for dangerously high winds is not getting any less extreme for tomorrow (Wednesday). NWS issues high wind warnings when sustained winds are > 40mph or gusts reach 58mph (50 knots) or stronger. Add snow and blowing snow in the high country and we're well within life-threatening blizzard conditions. Not to mention impacts from blowing dust for the RGV.
Virtually every county in the state is expected to experience high wind conditions tomorrow, which is rare for late February. The image below from this morning's NWS Blend of Models suggests areas over/immediately east of the Sangre de Cristos, Sandia/Manzanos down to the Sacramento Mountains could experience gusts in the 80-90+ mph range! Mountain ranges over central and south-central NM will likely to see the brunt and longest duration of potentially damaging winds. These high winds will be associated with a powerful cold front that will sweep the region from mid/late morning into early afternoon Wednesday.
In addition to extreme winds, high confidence we will continue to add to our mountain snowpack during the next 24-36 hours. Snow accumulation levels for northern NM near/above 8,500 feet this afternoon into the evening gradually lower tonight but then abruptly fall behind the front mid/late morning Wednesday. Light accumulations expected for locales like Taos (1-3") and Santa Fe (dusting to 1 or 2"). High elevations of the Gila and Lincoln should narrowly edge out northern NM this go round.
The attached slides are for the next seven days to supplement SWCC<https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffsapps.nwcg.gov%2Fpsp%2Fnpsg%2Fforecast%2F%23%2Foutlooks%3Fstate%3Dforecast%26gaccId%3D10&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=AgIQCB6BwJSk%2BGMTKCrTlMgOyYRFWb%2FbdmFMX0IOkQM%3D&reserved=0> and NWS<https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Fmedia%2Fabq%2FBriefings%2FKeyImpacts.pdf&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=zyj7VLYsmPGMsO4s%2BaBjxPz%2FdDFgrr1LZzR3e625rXA%3D&reserved=0> outlooks/forecasts. This link to forecast weather<https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Fforecastpoints%3Flat%3D35.688%26lon%3D-105.940%26clat%3D35.906%26clon%3D-105.054%26zoom%3D14.0%26basemap%3Dstamenterrain%26bbox%3D%255b-19719439.353%2C1706090.691%2C-1372338.093%2C10673494.116%255d%26layers%3DRangeRings%24USStates%24ForecastPointPolygon%24ForecastPoint%24Domain%24%26order%3D4%2C1%2C0%26obs%3Dttffffft%26countyNames%3Dt&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=%2B%2FK1G7p5LCmmyhzR3Y6eaFxPLaLXy%2B4ol0vwxT1kwfE%3D&reserved=0> is direct from NWS and is useful for keeping up to date on the latest forecast at a specific location.
Stay safe tomorrow!
Kerry
[cid:image007.png at 01D945E9.7EEB32E0]
[cid:image005.png at 01D945E8.9315A9E0]
[Forest Service Shield]
Kerry Jones (he, him, his)
Air & Water Quality Specialist/Meteorologist
NMED Liaison
Forest Service
New Mexico National Forests
p: 505-438-5673
c: 505-414-4787
kerry.jones at usda.gov<mailto:kerry.jones at usda.gov>
11 Forest Lane
Santa Fe, NM 87508
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