[NMCCSC] Fwd: [Volunteers_fosm] FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday

Tue Feb 21 20:46:35 MST 2023

This in from Forest Service- see below.  Tomorrow may be a good day to not
be in our mtns.  Bet

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Padilla, Julie - FS, NM via Volunteers_fosm <
volunteers_fosm at mailman.swcp.com>
Date: Tue, Feb 21, 2023, 5:15 PM
Subject: [Volunteers_fosm] FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously
High Winds (and Snow) for Wednesday
To: mikemadden52 at gmail.com <mikemadden52 at gmail.com>, Friends of Sandia (
volunteers_fosm at mailman.swcp.com) <volunteers_fosm at mailman.swcp.com>

FOSM Members/Volunteers

Can you all please distribute this to anyone planning on doing field work
tomorrow? Very dangerous winds are predicted “Sandia/Manzanos down to the
Sacramento Mountains could experience gusts in the 80-90+ mph range”.

Please stay safe out there, not a good day to be working around trees.

Thank you,

Julie

Julie Padilla

Acting Deputy Ranger

Sandia Ranger District

Office: 505-281-3304

Cell: 505-933-0711

*From:* Nichols, Christopher - FS, NM <christopher.nichols at usda.gov>
*Sent:* Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:45 PM
*To:* pdl r3 cibola recLT <pdl_r3_cibola_recLT at usda.gov>
*Subject:* FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and
Snow) for Wednesday
*Importance:* High

Just FYI. Sounds like trees will be having some fun in the days to come.

*From:* Osborn, Christa - FS, NM <christa.osborn at usda.gov>
*Sent:* Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:35 PM
*To:* FS-pdl r3 cibola REALM staff <pdl_r3_cibola_REALM_staff at usda.gov>
*Subject:* FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and
Snow) for Wednesday
*Importance:* High

Sharing…

[image: Forest Service Shield]

*Christa Osborn Public Services Staff *

*Forest Service*

*Cibola National Forest & Grasslands*

*p: 505-346-3871 christa.osborn at usda.gov <christa.osborn at usda.gov>*

2113 Osuna Rd NE
Albuquerque, NM 87113
www.fs.fed.us
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*Caring for the land and serving people*

*From:* Turner, Jay - FS, NM <James.Turner1 at usda.gov>
*Sent:* Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:12 PM
*To:* FS-pdl r3 cibola flt <pdl_r3_cibola_flt at usda.gov>
*Subject:* FW: 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and
Snow) for Wednesday
*Importance:* High

Heads up.

*From:* Jones, Kerry - FS, NM <Kerry.Jones at usda.gov>
*Sent:* Tuesday, February 21, 2023 12:07 PM
*To:* FS-pdl r3 santafe all <pdl_r3_santafe_all at usda.gov>; FS-pdl r3 carson
employees <pdl_r3_carson_employees at usda.gov>
*Cc:* Turner, Jay - FS, NM <James.Turner1 at usda.gov>; Sorells, Elizabeth -
FS, NM <Elizabeth.Sorells at usda.gov>; Sanchez, Shaun - FS, NM <
Shaun.Sanchez at usda.gov>; Rose, Anita - FS, NM <anita.rose at usda.gov>;
Reeves, Matt - FS, MT <Matthew.Reeves at usda.gov>; Johnson, Patricia - FS, NM
<patricia.e.johnson at usda.gov>; Jaramillo, Anna - FS, NM <
Anne.Jaramillo-scarborough at usda.gov>; Basye, William - FS, NM <
william.basye at usda.gov>; Koury, Carolyn - FS, NM <carolyn.koury at usda.gov>;
Natharius, Mike - FS, NM <Michael.Natharius at usda.gov>; Julie Anne Overton <
jaoverton at mac.com>
*Subject:* 2/21 Weather Trends Update + Dangerously High Winds (and Snow)
for Wednesday
*Importance:* High

Good afternoon, everyone—

Unfortunately,  the forecast for dangerously high winds is not getting any
less extreme for tomorrow (Wednesday).   NWS issues high wind warnings when
sustained winds are > 40mph or gusts reach  58mph (50 knots) or stronger.
Add snow and blowing snow in the high country and we’re well within
life-threatening blizzard conditions. Not to mention impacts from blowing
dust for the RGV.

Virtually every county in the state is expected to experience high wind
conditions tomorrow, which is rare for late February.   The image below
from this morning’s NWS Blend of Models suggests areas over/immediately
east of the Sangre de Cristos,  Sandia/Manzanos down to the Sacramento
Mountains could experience gusts in the 80-90+ mph range!   Mountain ranges
over central and south-central NM will likely to see the brunt and longest
duration of  potentially damaging winds. These high winds will be
associated with a powerful cold front that will sweep the region from
mid/late morning into early afternoon Wednesday.

In addition to extreme winds,  high confidence we will continue to add to
our mountain snowpack during the next 24-36 hours.   Snow accumulation
levels for northern NM near/above 8,500 feet this afternoon into the
evening gradually lower tonight but then abruptly fall behind the front
mid/late morning Wednesday.  Light accumulations expected for locales like
Taos (1-3”) and Santa Fe (dusting to 1 or 2”).  High elevations of the Gila
and Lincoln should narrowly edge out northern NM this go round.

The attached slides are for the next seven days to supplement SWCC
<https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffsapps.nwcg.gov%2Fpsp%2Fnpsg%2Fforecast%2F%23%2Foutlooks%3Fstate%3Dforecast%26gaccId%3D10&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=AgIQCB6BwJSk%2BGMTKCrTlMgOyYRFWb%2FbdmFMX0IOkQM%3D&reserved=0>
and NWS
<https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Fmedia%2Fabq%2FBriefings%2FKeyImpacts.pdf&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=zyj7VLYsmPGMsO4s%2BaBjxPz%2FdDFgrr1LZzR3e625rXA%3D&reserved=0>
outlooks/forecasts.  This link to forecast weather
<https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Fforecastpoints%3Flat%3D35.688%26lon%3D-105.940%26clat%3D35.906%26clon%3D-105.054%26zoom%3D14.0%26basemap%3Dstamenterrain%26bbox%3D%255b-19719439.353%2C1706090.691%2C-1372338.093%2C10673494.116%255d%26layers%3DRangeRings%24USStates%24ForecastPointPolygon%24ForecastPoint%24Domain%24%26order%3D4%2C1%2C0%26obs%3Dttffffft%26countyNames%3Dt&data=05%7C01%7C%7C8bf65c8bef484ebb038208db14442ce9%7Ced5b36e701ee4ebc867ee03cfa0d4697%7C0%7C0%7C638126055296715602%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=%2B%2FK1G7p5LCmmyhzR3Y6eaFxPLaLXy%2B4ol0vwxT1kwfE%3D&reserved=0>
is direct from NWS and is useful for keeping up to date on the latest
forecast at a specific location.

Stay safe tomorrow!

Kerry

[image: Forest Service Shield]

*Kerry Jones (he, him, his) Air & Water Quality Specialist/Meteorologist
NMED Liaison*

*Forest Service*

*New Mexico National Forests*

*p: 505-438-5673 c: 505-414-4787 **kerry.jones at usda.gov*
<kerry.jones at usda.gov>

11 Forest Lane
Santa Fe, NM 87508
www.fs.fed.us
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